
S&P 500: A Bear Market in Stages
COT note: The S&P dashboard and the COT overlays use different reports. The overlays’ latest readings match USD Index futures and are read here as a…
In-depth research on growth, inflation and the forces connecting markets.
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COT note: The S&P dashboard and the COT overlays use different reports. The overlays’ latest readings match USD Index futures and are read here as a…

My base case is that the West is heading into broad demand destruction and a deep recession. I expect the contraction to spread across most of the major…